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2024-12-14 11:22:59

A-shares: the gold content of small highs is improving. Will the stock market get worse next week?Finally, to sum up my point of view, there is a high probability that the market will bottom out next week, and the strong support below is near the short-term trend line. Today's plunge is mainly due to yesterday's lure to pull the space too high, so today's retracement is a bit large. However, the follow-up also lacks the basis for a sustained plunge. At least today, this 28-month resonant crash is difficult to continue. The next big probability is that the 28-month market is dominant, so pay attention to the rhythm.First of all, let's see if there will be a RRR cut or interest rate cut next weekend. Let's put it this way, it began to blow down the RRR in the middle and late November. Unfortunately, after the MLF parity was reduced and the local debt was issued, although the market liquidity was abundant, they all went to the national debt to hedge. A shares have not only failed to increase funds, but have become blood transfusion packages, which is the biggest reality.


Emotionally, there are 98 stocks with daily limit, 10 stocks with daily limit and 262 stocks with a drop of more than 5%. The data shows that the daily limit stocks have finally been suppressed under 100, but the daily limit stocks are almost meaningless. Simply speaking, the market restructuring structure is not over yet, and those who like to play the relay have not felt the pain. It is necessary to squeeze these funds out of the junk ticket.In terms of the performance of individual stocks and sectors, today's plunge is mainly due to the fact that market funds began to vote with their feet after the expected landing of heavy meetings. After all, this market can be speculated for a while by expectations, but the continuous promotion still depends on the face of funds. The most important thing is that hot money and quantitative crazy speculation have diverted a lot of money, and the market needs to seek a new balance through adjustment.Finally, the gold content of the technical small high point has increased, and there is a high probability that the market will stop falling and stabilize next week. This week's rhythm was expected by the news, and it was really difficult to operate. However, on Tuesday, after Lao Liu suggested a small high point, he gave two pressure levels and two support levels when he repaired the rebound on Wednesday. Now it is needless to say that he went up. Let's look at the short-term trend line and the triangular upper rail pressure line.


I'm a trend trader, not a pure value investor, but I've seen countless junk stocks rise from high-rise buildings for so many years, and the final result is that buildings collapse without exception. So even if junk stocks are in the sky and the trend is beautiful, I dare not go up. This is not to make excuses for yourself, but to sum up the bloody experience after paying enough tuition in these 20 years!First of all, let's see if there will be a RRR cut or interest rate cut next weekend. Let's put it this way, it began to blow down the RRR in the middle and late November. Unfortunately, after the MLF parity was reduced and the local debt was issued, although the market liquidity was abundant, they all went to the national debt to hedge. A shares have not only failed to increase funds, but have become blood transfusion packages, which is the biggest reality.Emotionally, there are 98 stocks with daily limit, 10 stocks with daily limit and 262 stocks with a drop of more than 5%. The data shows that the daily limit stocks have finally been suppressed under 100, but the daily limit stocks are almost meaningless. Simply speaking, the market restructuring structure is not over yet, and those who like to play the relay have not felt the pain. It is necessary to squeeze these funds out of the junk ticket.

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